sizelot

Long-Term Index Investing: How It Works and How to Start

Updated Data checked against FRED: S&P 500 (SP500)

Coins falling into a savings jar
Photo: Pexels

Long-term index investing means buying, through an index fund or ETF, a basket of hundreds of companies that tracks an index such as the S&P 500 or the MSCI World, and holding it for years. It doesn’t try to guess which stock will rise: it takes the market average at a low cost. Over the last ten years the S&P 500 rose 257.3% (13.6% a year, before dividends), but with falls like 2020’s, when it lost 33.9% in five weeks.

What an index is

An index tracks a group of stocks. The S&P 500 holds about 500 large US companies; the MSCI World, thousands of companies in developed markets; the Nasdaq 100, the largest non-financial Nasdaq stocks. An index fund buys those shares in the same proportions, so its result is practically the index minus its costs.

The S&P 500’s last ten years

FigureValue
October 3, 20162,161.20
October 2, 20267,722.72
Total rise257.3%
Average yearly return13.58%
Largest fall (Feb–Mar 2020)-33.9%

These are price figures without dividends, which usually add between one and two points a year on the S&P 500. Past returns do not guarantee future ones.

The key is compounding

What you earn also earns. Investing $200 a month for 30 years at a 6% yearly return, you would put in $72,000 and end with about $200,903: nearly two thirds would be growth. Work out your case with the compound interest calculator.

Why costs matter so much

$10,000 invested for 30 years at a 7% gross yearly return ends at $71,968 if the fund costs 0.2% a year, and at $49,840 if it costs 1.5%: $22,128 less for a gap that looks small. Check a fund’s expense ratio before choosing it.

How to start

  1. Build an emergency fund of several months of expenses first, so you never have to sell in a fall.
  2. Pick a broad index (global or US) and a low-cost fund or ETF; tax-advantaged accounts such as a 401(k) or an IRA can help.
  3. Invest regularly, for example every month, and automate it.
  4. Don’t check daily: 20% or 30% falls are part of the road; selling them is what turns a fall into a loss.

Prefer short-term trading? It is a different discipline: start with the beginner’s guide to trading.

S&P 500 data from FRED (St. Louis Fed). Examples use hypothetical returns, not forecasts. Information only, not investment advice.

Frequently asked questions

What is index investing?

Buying a fund or ETF that tracks an index such as the S&P 500 or the MSCI World: one purchase gives you hundreds of companies at a low cost.

How much has the S&P 500 risen in ten years?

257.3% from October 2016 to October 2026, 13.6% a year, not counting dividends (FRED data).

Lump sum or monthly investing?

Investing monthly spreads the risk of a bad entry and builds the habit; a lump sum tends to earn more on average when markets rise, but hurts more if they fall right after.

How much do fees matter?

A lot over time: $10,000 at 7% for 30 years ends at $71,968 with 0.2% yearly costs and $49,840 with 1.5%.